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]]>For decades, digital twins have played a crucial role in the field of product lifecycle management (PLM), where they assist in the design and testing of many types of devices, from valves to jet engines. ScaleOut Software has pioneered the use of digital twin technology combined with in-memory computing to track the behavior of live systems with many components – such as vehicle fleets, IoT devices, and even people – to monitor status in real time and boost situational awareness for operational managers.
Now, both data analysts and system managers can also harness the power of digital twins to simulate the behaviors of complex systems with thousands of interacting entities. Digital twin simulations can provide invaluable information about complex interactions that are otherwise difficult to study. They can explore scenarios often found in live systems, informing decisions and helping to identify potential issues in the planning phase. They also empower professionals to validate real-time analytics prior to deployment and to make predictions that help manage live systems.
Consider an important use case in transportation safety for the U.S. freight railway system. The U.S moves more than 1.6 billion tons of freight over 140,000 miles of track each year. In 2022, there were 1,164 train derailments that caused damage measured in the millions of dollars and cost multiple lives. For example, in February 2023, fifty freight cars derailed in East Palestine, Ohio in a widely publicized accident. How can digital twins help prevent similar emergencies?
Currently, track-side sensors detect mechanical issues that can cause derailments, such as severely overheated wheel bearings, and radio train engineers often too late to prevent an accident. In the Ohio event, the NTSB preliminary report described increasing temperatures reported by three rail-side “hot box” detectors before the accident occurred. The U.S. railway network places these detectors every few miles across the country:
Example of a hot box detector (BBT609 – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=25975512)
Hot box detectors capture the data needed to track increasing wheel bearing temperatures and predict impending derailments. However, safety systems need to harness this data more effectively to prevent these incidents. Digital twins can help.
Real-time analytics using digital twins can combine temperature information from multiple hot boxes to detect anomalies and take action faster, before small problems escalate into derailments. Cloud-hosted analytics can simultaneously track the entire rail network’s rolling stock using a scalable, in-memory computing platform, such as the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, to host digital twins. They can continuously analyze patterns of temperature changes for each car’s wheel bearings, combine this with known information about the rail car, such as its maintenance history, and then assess the likelihood of failure and alert personnel within milliseconds. This use of contextual information also helps prevent false-positive alerts that create costly delays.
To help railway engineers develop and test new predictive analytics software, large-scale simulations can model the flow of information from the hundreds of thousands of freight cars that cross the U.S. each day, as well as the thousands of detectors placed along the tracks. These simulations can statistically simulate emerging wheel bearing issues to test how well real-time analytics software can detect impending failures before an accident occurs. Digital twins serve double duty here; they implement real-time analytics, and they model wheel bearing failures.
As a proof of concept, ScaleOut Software created a simulation of the U.S. freight rail system to evaluate how well digital twins can track wheel bearing temperatures from multiple hot box detectors and alert engineers to avoid derailments. The simulation runs as a discrete event simulation with digital twins exchanging messages in simulated time to model interactions.
This workload generator creates 500-1000 simulated trains, each with 100 freight cars and 8 wheel bearings per car. The simulated trains travel on a hypothetical rail map that crisscrosses a hypothetical U.S. rail map with 107 routes between major U.S. cities:
The simulated rail network places 3,800 hot box detectors approximately every 10 miles along the tracks. Each detector’s job is to report the wheel bearing temperatures for every freight car as a train passes it along the route, just as a real hot box detector would.
The simulation uses a separate digital twin model to implement trains and hot box detectors. (Each digital twin model has its own properties and algorithms.) A simulated train keeps track of its route, current position, speed, and freight cars. It also implements a probabilistic model of wheel bearing failures that cause a wheel bearing to enter a deteriorating state with a probability of 1:1M and then increase its temperature over time. As it passes a simulated detector, each train reports the temperature of all wheel bearings to the detector. After a deteriorating wheel bearing passes ten detectors, it increases to a 1:4 probability of entering a failed state with a rapid temperature rise. Once a bearing reaches 500 degrees Fahrenheit, the model considers it to have experienced a catastrophic failure, which corresponds to a fire or derailment.
Here is an example of a wheel bearing’s temperature profile as it passes detectors along the rails:
As simulated trains pass hot box detectors and report their wheel bearing temperatures, the detectors send a message to their corresponding real-time digital twins, which capture and analyze this telemetry.
The following diagram shows the simulation’s workload generator made up of digital twins:
Digital twins also implement real-time analytics code for detecting wheel bearing failures. Once deployed in a data center for production use, they continuously track telemetry from real hot box detectors to look for possible wheel bearing failures and alert train engineers. In an actual deployment, existing hot box detectors would send messages over the cellular phone system to a cloud-based analytics service instead of just making radio broadcasts to nearby train personnel.
The analytics code uses two digital twin models, one for hot box detectors and another for individual train cars. The hot box detector twins receive telemetry messages from corresponding physical hot boxes along the tracks. Digital twins of train cars track telemetry and other relevant information about all the wheel bearings on each car. They build a picture over time of trends in wheel bearing temperatures reported by multiple detectors. They also can combine a temperature history with other contextual information, such as the type of wheel bearing and its service history, to best decide when a failure might be imminent.
In the simulation, train car digital twins just keep temperature histories for all wheel bearings and look for an upward trend over time. If a digital twin detects a potentially dangerous trend, it sends a message back to the simulated train, instructing it to stop.
To run the simulation, the workload generator sends messages to the real-time analytics:
The same analytics twins can receive telemetry from actual hot box detectors after deployment:
The simulation divides the U.S. rail network into regions. To check that trend analysis is working, we disable it in the south and southwest and compare it to other regions. The simulation shows that trend analysis catches all deteriorating bearings before they fail and cause derailments. Derailments only occur on routes not performing trend analysis.
The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service provides tools to visualize these results. The following dashboard widgets track the number of alerted trains by region that are undergoing inspection (because trend analysis detects an issue) along with the number of derailed trains. Note that derailments only occur in the regions with trend analysis disabled:
The following geospatial map of a continuous query shows the trains which are running normally in green, undergoing inspection in blue, and derailed in red. This map confirms that all derailed trains are located in the south and southwest regions and shows trains undergoing inspection in other regions:
The U.S. freight railways provide the backbone of the country’s freight transport system and must run with minimum disruptions. New technology like digital twins can take advantage of existing infrastructure to provide continuous monitoring that is missing today. Using scalable in-memory computing, digital twins can capture live telemetry throughout the rail system, analyze it in context, and create immediate alerts when needed. They can also implement simulations to model these issues and help planners evaluate real-time analytics software.
Beyond just watching wheel bearings, digital twins can track other areas of the rail system, such as rail intersections and switches, to further boost safety. With this technology, digital twins can help build next-generation safety systems to eliminate dangerous and costly derailments.
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]]>The post Video: Preventing Train Derailments with Real-Time Digital Twins appeared first on ScaleOut Software.
]]>Introducing the latest ScaleOut Software video release: Preventing Train Derailments with Real-Time Digital Twins. Modern society relies on complex transportation networks to keep things moving smoothly, but when issues arise, the consequences can be substantial. In 2022 alone, over 1,100 train derailments in the US led to damages exceeding $100 million. Costs from the East Palestine, Ohio train derailment in February 2023 reached a staggering $803 million.
Many costly train derailments could potentially be prevented using a combination of existing infrastructure and new real-time digital twin technology. In this video, you’ll learn how real-time digital twins can revolutionize accident prevention for railroads by monitoring live data and taking action before derailments occur. See how digital twins can analyze data from existing trackside detectors simultaneously and determine when wheel bearings are likely to fail. Watch a simulation that illustrates how ScaleOut’s digital twins can predict problems and intervene to prevent accidents.
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]]>The post CEO William Bain Gives Talk for the Digital Twin Consortium appeared first on ScaleOut Software.
]]>In this talk, Dr. Bain described a new vision for digital twins that takes them beyond traditional applications to address challenges faced by managers of large systems with thousands or even millions of data sources. Digital twins can implement streaming analytics that continuously monitor these complex systems for emerging issues and help managers boost their situational awareness.
Numerous applications can benefit from this new use of digital twins. Examples described in the talk include tracking vehicle fleets and logistics networks, improving the safety of transportation systems, and assisting in disaster recovery.
ScaleOut Software’s in-memory computing technology makes it possible to simultaneously host thousands of digital twins and run both streaming analytics and simulations. The talk explains how this technology adds real-time aggregate analytics while lowering response times and scaling performance.
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]]>The post Watch: Founder and CEO William Bain Talks Real-Time Digital Twins with Techstrong TV appeared first on ScaleOut Software.
]]>Watch the video below:
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With the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, the digital twin software model has proven its versatility well beyond its roots in product lifecycle management (PLM). This cloud-based service uses digital twins to implement streaming analytics and add important contextual information not possible with other stream-processing architectures. Because each digital twin can hold key information about an individual data source, it can enrich the analysis of incoming telemetry and extracts important, actionable insights without delay. Hosting digital twins on a scalable, in-memory computing platform enables the simultaneous tracking of thousands — or even millions — of data sources.
Owing to the digital twin’s object-oriented design, many diverse applications can take advantage of its powerful but easy-to-use software architecture. For example, telematics applications use digital twins to track telemetry from every vehicle in a fleet and immediately identify issues, such as lost or erratic drivers or emerging mechanical problems. Airlines can use digital twins to track the progress of passengers throughout an itinerary and respond to delays and cancellations with proactive remedies that smooth operations and reduce stress. Other applications abound, including health informatics, financial services, logistics, cybersecurity, IoT, smart cities, and crime prevention.
Here’s an example of a telematics application that tracks a large fleet of vehicles. Each vehicle has a corresponding digital twin analyzing telemetry from the vehicle in real time:
Applications like these need to simultaneously track the dynamic behavior of numerous data sources, such as IoT devices, to identify issues (or opportunities) as quickly as possible and give systems managers the best possible situational awareness. To either validate streaming analytics code for a complex physical system or model its behavior, it is useful to simulate the devices and the telemetry that they generate. The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service now enables digital twins to simplify both tasks.
Digital twins can implement a workload generator that generates telemetry used in validating streaming analytics code. Each digital twin models the behavior of a physical data source, such as a vehicle in fleet, and the messages it sends and receives. When running in simulation, thousands of digital twins can then generate realistic telemetry for all data sources and feed streaming analytics, such as a telematics application, designed to track and analyze its behavior. In fact, the streaming service enables digital twins to implement both the workload generator and the streaming analytics. Once the analytics code has been validated in this manner, developers can then deploy it to track a live system.
Here’s an example of using a digital twin to simulate the operations of a pump and the telemetry (such as the pump’s temperature and RPM) that it generates. Running in simulation, this simulated pump sends telemetry messages to a corresponding real-time digital twin that analyzes the telemetry to predict impending issues:
Once the simulation has validated the analytics, the real-time digital twin can be deployed to analyze telemetry from an actual pump:
This example illustrates how digital twins can both simulate devices and provide streaming analytics for a live system.
Using digital twins to build a workload generator enables investigation of a wide range of scenarios that might be encountered in typical, real-world use. Developers can implement parameterizable, stateful models of physical data sources and then vary these parameters in simulation to evaluate the ability of streaming analytics to analyze and respond in various situations. For example, digital twins could simulate perimeter devices detecting security intrusions in a large infrastructure to help evaluate how well streaming analytics can identify and classify threats. In addition, the streaming service can capture and record live telemetry and later replay it in simulation.
In addition to using digital twins for analyzing telemetry, the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service enables digital twins to implement time-driven simulations that model large groups of interacting physical entities. Digital twins can model individual entities within a large system, such as airline passengers, aircraft, airport gates, and air traffic sectors in a comprehensive airline model. These digital twins maintain state information about the physical entities they represent, and they can run code at each time step in the simulation model’s execution to update digital twin state over time. These digital twins also can exchange messages that model interactions.
For example, an airline tracking system can use simulation to model numerous types of weather delays and system outages (such as ground stops) to see how their system manages passenger needs. As the simulation model evolves over time, simulated aircraft can model flight delays and send messages to simulated passengers that react by updating their itineraries. Here is a depiction of an airline tracking simulation:
In contrast to the use of digital twins for PLM, which typically embody a complex design within a single digital twin model, the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service enables large numbers of physical entities and their interactions to be simulated. By doing this, simulations can model intricate behaviors that evolve over time and reveal important insights during system design and optimization. They also can be fed live data and run faster than real time as a tool for making predictions that assist decision-making by managers (such as airline dispatchers).
Digital twins offer a compelling software architecture for implementing time-driven simulations with thousands of entities. In a typical implementation, developers create multiple digital twin models to describe the state information and simulation code representing various physical entities, such as trucks, cargo, and warehouses in a telematics simulation. They create instances of these digital twin models (simply called digital twins) to implement all of the entities being simulated, and the streaming service runs their code at each time step being simulated. During each time step, digital twins can exchange messages that represent simulated interactions between physical entities.
The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service uses scalable, in-memory computing technology to provide the speed and memory capacity needed to run large simulations with many entities. It stores digital twins in memory and automatically distributes them across a cluster of servers that hosts a simulation. At each time step, each server runs the simulation code for a subset of the digital twins and determines the next time step that the simulation needs to run. The streaming service orchestrates the simulation’s progress on the cluster and advances simulation time at a rate selected by the user.
In this manner, the streaming service can harness as many servers as it needs to host a large simulation and run it with maximum throughput. As illustrated below, the service’s in-memory computing platform can add new servers while a simulation is running, and it can transparently handle server outages should they occur. Users need only focus on building digital twin models and deploying them to the streaming service.
Digital twins have historically been employed as a tool for simulating increasingly detailed behavior of a complex physical entity, like a jet engine. The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service takes digital twins in a new direction: simulation of large systems. Its highly scalable, in-memory computing architecture enables it to easily simulate many thousands of entities and their interactions. This provides a powerful new tool for extracting insights about complex systems that today’s managers must operate at peak efficiency. Its analytics and predictive capabilities promise to offer a high return on investment in many industries.
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]]>Using Digital Twins for Streaming Analytics
In the two years since we initially released the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, we have applied the digital twin model to numerous use cases, including security alerting, telematics, contact tracing, logistics, device tracking, industrial sensor monitoring, cloned license plate detection, and airline system tracking. Constructing applications for these use cases has demonstrated the power of the digital twin model in creating streaming analytics that track large numbers of data sources.
The process of building digital twin applications allowed us to surface both the strengths and shortcomings of our APIs. This has led to a series of new features which enhance the core platform. For example, we created a rules engine for implementing the logic within a digital twin so that new models can be created without the need for programming expertise. We then added machine learning to digital twin models using Microsoft’s ML.NET library. This enables digital twins to look for patterns in telemetry that are difficult to define with code. More recently, we integrated our digital twin model with Microsoft’s Azure Digital Twins to accelerate real-time processing using our in-memory computing technology while providing new visualization and persistence capabilities for digital twins.
With the newly announced version 2, we are adding important new capabilities for real-time analytics to our digital twin APIs. Let’s take a look at some of these new features.
New Support for .NET 6
Version 2 expands the target platforms for C#-based digital twin models by supporting .NET 6. With our goal to make the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service’s feature set and visualization tools uniformly available in the cloud and on-premises, we recognized that we needed to move beyond support for .NET Framework, which can only be deployed on Windows. By adding .NET 6, we can take advantage of its portability across both Windows and Linux. Now C#, Java, JavaScript, and rules-based digital twin models can be deployed on all platforms:
(As illustrated with the dotted lines above, we continue to support .NET Framework on Windows and in the Azure cloud.)
To take maximum advantage of .NET 6, we also re-implemented our Azure cloud service and key portions of the back-end infrastructure in .NET 6. This provides better performance and flexibility for future upgrades.
Digital Twin Timers
Using our APIs, digital twins can run analytics code to process incoming messages from their corresponding data sources. In developing a proof-of-concept application for an industrial safety application, we learned that they also need to be able to create timers and run code when the timers expire. This enables digital twins to detect when their data sources fail or become erratic in sending messages.
For example, consider a digital application that tracks periodic telemetry from a collection of building thermostats. Each digital twin looks for abnormal temperature excursions that indicate the need to alert personnel. In addition, a digital twin must determine if its thermostat has failed and is no longer sending periodic temperature readings. By setting a timer and restarting it after each message is received, the digital twin can signal an alert if excessive time elapses between incoming messages:
In the actual industrial safety application we built, buildings throughout a site had numerous smoke and gas sensors. Digital twins for the sensors incorporated timers to detect failed sensors. As shown below, they periodically forwarded their status to a hierarchy of digital twins arranged as shown below from the lowest level upwards. The digital twins represented floors within buildings, buildings within a site, sites within the organization, and the overall organization itself. At each level, status information was aggregated to gives personnel immediate information about where problems were occurring. The role of timers was critical in maintaining a complete picture of the organization’s status.
Aggregate Initialization
When we first implemented our digital twin platform, we designed it to automatically create a digital twin instance when the first message from an unknown data source arrives. (The platform determines which type of digital twin to create from the message’s contents.) This technique simplifies deployment by avoiding the need to explicitly create digital twin instances. The user simply develops and deploys a digital twin model, for example, for a gas sensor, and the platform creates a digital twin for each sensor that sends a message to the platform.
In many cases, it’s useful to create digital twin instances when deploying a model instead of waiting for messages to arrive. For example, both demo applications and simulations need to explicitly create digital twins since there are no actual physical devices. Also, applications with model hierarchies (like the example above) may need to create instances to fill out the hierarchy and start reporting at deployment time.
To address these needs, version 2 lets users supply a csv file when deploying a digital twin model. This csv file lists all digital twin instances and the initial values for each instance’s properties. The platform then creates the corresponding digital twin instances and sets the initial values.
Here’s an example that shows how a csv file generated from a spreadsheet can be deployed to the streaming service via the UI to initialize five digital twin instances. Note that the spreadsheet’s first row has the names of the properties to be set:
Summing Up
After more than two years of experience in building real-world applications with digital twins, we have confirmed the power of using digital twins for streaming analytics. Because digital twins bring together state information, telemetry, and application logic for each physical device, they enable deep introspection that tracks behavior and surfaces issues using a simple, highly efficient programming model. They also allow applications to focus on analytics code and defer the challenges of data visualization and throughput scaling to the streaming service.
With version 2, we have added important new capabilities to our implementation of the digital twin model and to the underlying platform. These features have been driven by emerging requirements that surfaced during application development. This matches our design philosophy of starting with a simple, coherent model and carefully enhancing it as new learnings are made.
Interestingly, our development work has consistently shown the value of using simulation to demonstrate the capabilities of the digital twin model for streaming analytics. The new features in version 2 enhance our ability to build simulations, and we expect to add more support for simulation in upcoming releases. Stay tuned.
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]]>In this video, Bill explains how digital twins can make use of object-oriented programming techniques and in-memory computing to implement real-time analytics at scale. These combined technologies can enable a wide range of live applications to track thousands of data sources, identify issues, and respond in the moment. Target applications include IoT, telematics, logistics, disaster management, health-device tracking, energy management, cyber and physical security, and fraud detection.
ScaleOut Software offers an in-memory, digital twin platform designed to provide real-time analytics for applications with many data sources. The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service runs as an Azure-based cloud service and on-premises for developing and running object-oriented digital twin models written in C#, Java, and JavaScript. It includes a comprehensive UI for managing digital twins, aggregating and querying their dynamic state, and visualizing real-time trends.
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]]>The post Unlocking New Capabilities for Azure Digital Twins with Real-Time Analytics appeared first on ScaleOut Software.
]]>The Need for Real-Time Analytics with Digital Twins
In countless applications that track live systems, real-time analytics plays a key role in identifying problems (or finding opportunities) and responding fast enough to make a difference. Consider a software telematics application that tracks a nationwide fleet of trucks to ensure timely deliveries. Dispatchers receive telemetry from trucks every few seconds detailing location, speed, lateral acceleration, engine parameters, and cargo viability. In a classic needle-and-haystack scenario, dispatchers must continuously sift through telemetry from thousands of trucks to spot issues, such as lost or fatigued drivers, engines requiring maintenance, or unreliable cargo refrigeration. They must intervene quickly to keep the supply chain running smoothly. Real-time analytics can help dispatchers tackle this seemingly impossible task by automatically sifting through telemetry as it arrives, analyzing it for anomalies needing attention, and alerting dispatchers when conditions warrant.
By using a process of divide and conquer, digital twins can dramatically simplify the construction of applications that implement real-time analytics for telematics or other applications. A digital twin for each truck can track that truck’s parameters (for example, maintenance and driver history) and its dynamic state (location, speed, engine and cargo condition, etc.). The digital twin can analyze telemetry from the truck to update this state information and generate alerts when needed. It can encapsulate analytics code or use machine learning techniques to look for anomalies. Running simultaneously, thousands of digital twins can track all the trucks in a fleet to keep dispatchers informed while reducing their workload.
Applying the digital twin model to real-time analytics expands its range of uses from its traditional home in product lifecycle management and infrastructure tracking to managing time-critical, live systems with many data sources. Examples include preventive maintenance, health-device tracking, logistics, physical and cyber security, IoT for smart cities, ecommerce shopping, financial services, and many others. But how can we integrate real-time analytics with digital twins and ensure high performance combined with straightforward application development?
Message Processing with Azure Digital Twins
Microsoft’s Azure Digital Twins provides a compelling platform for creating digital twin models with a rich set of features for describing their contents, including properties, components, inheritance, and more. The Azure Digital Twins Explorer GUI tool lets users view digital twin models and instances, as well as their relationships.
Azure digital twins can host dynamic properties that track the current state of physical data sources. Users can create serverless functions using Azure Functions to ingest messages generated by data sources and delivered to digital twins via Azure IoT Hub (or other message hubs). These functions update the properties of Azure digital twins using APIs provided for this purpose. Here’s a redrawn tutorial example that shows how Azure functions can process messages from a thermostat and update both its digital twin and a parent digital twin that models the room in which the thermostat is located. Note that the first Azure function’s update triggers the Azure Event Grid to run a second function that updates the room’s property:
The challenge in using serverless functions to process messages and perform real-time analytics is that they add overhead and complexity. By their nature, serverless functions are stateless and must obtain their state from external services; this adds latency. In addition, they are subject to scheduling and authentication overheads on each invocation, and this adds delays that limit scalability. The use of multiple serverless functions and associated mechanisms, such as Event Grid topics and routes, also adds complexity in developing analytics code.
Adding Real-Time Analytics Using In-Memory Computing
Integrating an in-memory computing platform with the Azure Digital Twins infrastructure addresses both of the challenges. This technology runs on a cluster of virtual servers and hosts application-defined software objects in memory for fast access along with a software-based compute engine that can run application-defined methods with extremely low latency. By storing each Azure digital twin instance’s properties in memory and routing incoming messages to an in-memory method for processing, both latency and complexity can be dramatically reduced, and real-time analytics can be scaled to handle thousands or even millions of data sources.
ScaleOut Software’s newly announced Azure Digital Twins Integration does just this. It integrates the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, an in-memory computing platform running on Microsoft Azure (or on premises), with the Azure Digital Twins service to provide real-time streaming analytics. It accelerates message processing using in-memory computing to ensure fast, scalable performance while simultaneously streamlining the programming model.
The ScaleOut Azure Digital Twins Integration creates a component within an Azure Digital Twin model in which it hosts “real-time” properties for each digital twin instance of the model. These properties track dynamic changes to the instance’s physical data source and provide context for real-time analytics.
To implement real-time analytics code, application developers create a message-processing method for an Azure digital twin model. This method can be written in C# or Java, using an intuitive rules-based language, or by configuring machine learning (ML) algorithms implemented by Microsoft’s ML.NET library. It makes use of each instance’s real-time properties, which it stores in a memory-based object called a real-time digital twin, and the in-memory compute engine automatically persists these properties in the Azure digital twin instance.
Here’s a diagram that illustrates how real-time digital twins integrate with Azure digital twins to provide real-time streaming analytics:
This diagram shows how each real-time digital twin instance maintains in-memory properties, which it retrieves when deployed, and automatically persists these properties in its corresponding Azure digital twin instance. The real-time digital twin connects to Azure IoT Hub or other message source to receive and then analyze incoming messages from its corresponding data source. Fast, in-memory processing provides sub-millisecond access to real-time properties and completes message processing with minimal latency. It also avoids repeated authentication delays every time a message is processed by authenticating once with the Azure Digital Twins service at startup.
All real-time analytics performed during message processing can run within a single in-memory method that has full access to the digital twin instance’s properties. This code also can access and update properties in other Azure digital twin instances. These features simplify design by avoiding the need to split functionality across multiple serverless functions and by providing a straightforward, object-oriented design framework with advanced, built-in capabilities, such as ML.
To further accelerate development, ScaleOut provides tools that automatically generate Azure digital twin model definitions for real-time properties. These model definitions can be used either to create new digital twin models or to add a real-time component to an existing model. Users just need to upload the model definitions to the Azure Digital Twins service.
Here’s how the tutorial example for the thermostat would be implemented using ScaleOut’s Azure Digital Twins Integration:
Note that the ScaleOut Digital Twins Streaming Service takes responsibility for ingesting messages from Azure IoT Hub and for invoking analytics code for the data source’s incoming messages. Multiple, pipelined connections with Azure IoT Hub ensure high throughput. Also note that the two serverless functions and use of Event Grid have been eliminated since the in-memory method handles both message processing and updates to the parent object (Room 21).
Combining the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service with Azure Digital Twins gives users the power of in-memory computing for real-time analytics while leveraging the full spectrum of Azure services and tools, as illustrated below for the thermostat example:
Users can view real-time properties with the Azure Digital Twins Explorer tool and track changes due to message processing. They also can take advantage of Azure’s ecosystem of big data analytics tools like Spark to perform batch processing. ScaleOut’s real-time data aggregation, continuous query, and visualization tools for real-time properties enable second-by-second tracking of live systems that boosts situational awareness for users.
Example of Real-Time Analytics with Azure Digital Twins
Incorporating real-time analytics using ScaleOut’s Azure Digital Twins Integration unlocks a wide array of applications for Azure Digital Twins. For example, here’s how the telematics software application discussed above could be implemented:
Each truck has a corresponding Azure digital twin which tracks its properties including a subset of real-time properties held in a component of each instance. When telemetry messages flow in to Azure IoT Hub, they are processed and analyzed by ScaleOut’s in-memory computing platform using a real-time digital twin that holds a truck’s real-time properties in memory for fast access and a message-processing method that analyzes telemetry changes, updates properties, and signals alerts when needed.
Real-time analytics can run ML algorithms that continuously examine telemetry, such as engine parameters, to detect anomalies and signal alerts. Digital twin analytics, combined with data aggregation and visualization powered by the in-memory platform, enable dispatchers to quickly spot emerging issues and take corrective action in a timely manner.
Summing Up
Digital twins offer a powerful means to model and visualize a population of physical devices. Adding real-time analytics to digital twins extends their reach into live, production systems that perform time-sensitive functions. By enabling managers to continuously examine telemetry from thousands or even millions of data sources and immediately identify emerging issues, they can avoid costly problems and capture elusive opportunities.
Azure Digital Twins has emerged as a compelling platform for hosting digital twin models. With the integration of in-memory computing technology using the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, Azure Digital Twins gains the ability to analyze incoming telemetry with low latency, high scalability, and a straightforward development model. The combination of these two technologies has the potential to unlock a wide range of important new use cases for digital twins.
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]]>When tracking telemetry from a large number of IoT devices, it’s essential to quickly detect when something goes wrong. For example, a fleet of long-haul trucks needs to meet demanding schedules and can’t afford unexpected breakdowns as a fleet manager manages thousands of trucks on the road. With today’s IoT technology, these trucks can report their engine and cargo status every few seconds to cloud-hosted telematics software. How can this software sift through the flood of incoming messages to identify emerging issues and avoid costly failures? Can the power of machine learning be harnessed to provide predictive analytics that automates the task of finding problems that are otherwise very difficult to detect?
As described in earlier blog posts, real-time digital twins offer a powerful software architecture for tracking and analyzing IoT telemetry from large numbers of data sources. A real-time digital twin is a software component running within a fast, scalable in-memory computing platform, and it hosts analytics code and state information required to track a single data source, like a truck within a fleet. Thousands of real-time digital twins run together to track all of the data sources and enable highly granular real-time analysis of incoming telemetry. By building on the widely used digital twin concept, real-time digital twins simultaneously enhance real-time streaming analytics and simplify application design.
Incorporating machine learning techniques into real-time digital twins takes their power and simplicity to the next level. While analytics code can be written in popular programming languages, such as Java and C#, or even using a simplified rules engine, creating algorithms that ferret out emerging issues hidden within a stream of telemetry still can be challenging. In many cases, the algorithm itself may be unknown because the underlying processes which lead to device failures are not well understood. In these cases, a machine learning (ML) algorithm can be trained to recognize abnormal telemetry patterns by feeding it thousands of historic telemetry messages that have been classified as normal or abnormal. No manual analytics coding is required. After training and testing, the ML algorithm can then be put to work monitoring incoming telemetry and alerting when it observes suspected abnormal telemetry.
To enable ML algorithms to run within real-time digital twins, ScaleOut Software has integrated Microsoft’s popular machine learning library called ML.NET into its Azure-based ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service. Using the ScaleOut Model Development Tool (formerly called the ScaleOut Rules Engine Development Tool), users can select, train, evaluate, deploy, and test ML algorithms within their real-time digital twin models. Once deployed, the ML algorithm runs independently for each data source, examining incoming telemetry within milliseconds after it arrives and logging abnormal events. The real-time digital twin also can be configured to generate alerts and send them to popular alerting providers, such as Splunk, Slack, and Pager Duty. In addition, business rules optionally can be used to further extend real-time analytics.
The following diagram illustrates the use of an ML algorithm to track engine and cargo parameters being monitored by a real-time digital twin hosting an ML algorithm for each truck in a fleet. When abnormal parameters are detected by the ML algorithm (as illustrated by the spike in the telemetry), the real-time digital twin records the incident and sends a message to the alerting provider:
Training an ML algorithm to recognize abnormal telemetry just requires supplying a training set of historic data that has been classified as normal or abnormal. Using this training data, the ScaleOut Model Development Tool lets the user train and evaluate up to ten binary classification algorithms supplied by ML.NET using a technique called supervised learning. The user can then select the appropriate trained algorithm to deploy based on metrics for each algorithm generated during training and testing. (The algorithms are tested using a portion of the data supplied for training.)
For example, consider an electric motor which periodically supplies three parameters (temperature, RPM, and voltage) to its real-time digital twin for monitoring by an ML algorithm to detect anomalies and generate alerts when they occur:
Training the real-time digital twin’s ML model follows the workflow illustrated below:
Here’s a screenshot of the ScaleOut Model Development Tool that shows the training of selected ML.NET algorithms for evaluation by the user:
The output of this process is a real-time digital twin model which can be deployed to the streaming service. As each motor reports its telemetry to the streaming service, a unique real-time digital twin “instance” (a software object) is created to track that motor’s telemetry using the ML algorithm.
In addition to supervised learning, ML.NET provides an algorithm (called an adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm) for spike detection, which detects rapid changes in telemetry for a single parameter. The ScaleOut Model Development Tool lets users add spike detection for selected parameters using this algorithm. In addition, it is often useful to detect unusual but subtle changes in a parameter’s telemetry over time. For example, if the temperature for an electric motor is expected to remain constant, it would be useful to detect a slow rise in temperature that might otherwise go unobserved. To address this need, the tool lets users make use of a ScaleOut-developed, linear regression algorithm that detects and reports inflection points in the telemetry for a single parameter. These two techniques for tracking changes in a telemetry parameter are illustrated below:
Summing Up
Machine learning provides important real-time insights that enhance situational awareness and enable fast, effective responses. They often can provide useful analytics for complex datasets that cannot be analyzed with hand-coded algorithms. Their usefulness and rate of adoption is quickly growing. Using the ScaleOut Model Development Tool, real-time digital twins now can easily be enhanced to automatically analyze incoming telemetry messages with machine learning techniques that take full advantage of Microsoft’s ML.NET library. The integration of machine learning with real-time digital twins enables thousands of data streams to be automatically and independently analyzed in real-time with fast, scalable performance. Best of all, no coding is required, enabling fast, easy model development. By combining ML with real-time digital twins, the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service adds important new capabilities for real-time streaming analytics that supercharge the Azure IoT ecosystem.
Read more about the ScaleOut Model Development Tool.
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]]>The population of intelligent IoT devices is exploding, and they are generating more telemetry than ever. Whether it’s health-tracking watches, long-haul trucks, or security sensors, extracting value from these devices requires streaming analytics that can quickly make sense of the telemetry and intelligently react to handle an emerging issue or capture a new opportunity.
The Microsoft Azure IoT ecosystem offers a rich set of capabilities for processing IoT telemetry, from its arrival in the cloud through its storage in databases and data lakes. Acting as a switchboard for incoming and outgoing messages, Azure IoT Hub forms the core of these capabilities. It provides support for a range of message protocols, buffering, and scalable message distribution to downstream services. These services include:
While Azure IoT offers a wide variety of services, it focuses on visualizing entities and events, extracting insights from telemetry streams with queries, and migrating events to storage for more intensive offline analysis. What’s missing is continuous, real-time introspection on the dynamic state of IoT devices to predict and immediately react to significant changes in their state. These capabilities are vitally important to extract the full potential of real-time intelligent monitoring.
For example, here are some scenarios in which stateful, real-time introspection can create important insights. Telemetry from each truck in a fleet of thousands can provide numerous parameters about the driver (such as repeated lateral accelerations at the end of a long shift) that might indicate the need for a dispatcher to intervene. A health tracking device might indicate a combination of signals (blood pressure, blood oxygen, heart rate, etc.) that indicate an emerging medical issue for an individual with a known medical history and current medications. A security sensor in a key-card access system might indicate an unusual pattern of building entries for an employee who has given notice of resignation.
In all of these examples, the event-processing system needs to be able to independently analyze events for each data source (IoT device) within milliseconds, and it needs immediate access to dynamic, contextual information about the data source that it can use to perform real-time predictive analytics. In short, what’s needed is a scalable, in-memory computing platform connected directly to Azure IoT Hub which can ingest and process event messages separately for each data source using memory-based state information maintained for that data source.
The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service provides precisely these capabilities. It does this by leveraging the digital twin concept (not to be confused with Azure Digital Twins) to create an in-memory software object for every data source that it is tracking. This object, called a real-time digital twin, holds dynamic state information about the data source and is made available to the application’s event handling code, which runs within 1-2 milliseconds whenever an incoming event is received. Application developers write event handling code in C#, Java, JavaScript, or using a rules engine; this code encapsulates application logic, such as a predictive analytics or machine learning algorithm. Once the real-time digital twin’s model (that is, its state data and event handling code) has been created, the developer can use an intuitive UI to deploy it to the streaming service and connect to Azure IoT Hub.
As shown in the following diagram, ScaleOut’s streaming service connects to Azure IoT Hub, runs alongside other Azure IoT services, and provides unique capabilities that enhance the overall Azure IoT ecosystem:
ScaleOut’s streaming service handles all the details of message delivery, data management, code orchestration, and scalable execution. This makes developing streaming analytics code for real-time digital twins fast and easy. The application developer just focuses on writing a single method to process incoming messages, run application-specific analytics, update state information about the data source, and generate alerts as needed. The optional rules engine further simplifies the development process with a UI for specifying state data and a sequential list of business rules for describing analytics code.
How are the streaming service’s real-time digital twins different from Azure digital twins? Both services leverage the digital twin concept by providing a software entity for each IoT device that can track the parameters and state of the device. What’s different is the streaming service’s focus on real-time analytics and its use of an in-memory computing platform integrated with Azure IoT Hub to ensure the lowest possible latency and high scalability. Azure digital twins serve a different purpose. They are intended to maintain a graphical representation of an organization’s entities for management and querying current status; they are not designed to implement real-time analytics using application-defined algorithms.
The following diagram illustrates the integration of ScaleOut’s streaming service with Azure IoT Hub to provide fast, scalable event handling with low-latency access to memory-based state for all data sources. It shows how real-time digital twins are distributed across multiple virtual servers organized into an in-memory computing cluster connected to Azure IoT Hub. The streaming service uses multiple message queues in Azure IoT Hub to scale message delivery and event processing:
As IoT devices proliferate and become more intelligent, it’s vital that our cloud-based event-processing systems be able to perform continuous and deep introspection in real time. This enables applications to react quickly, effectively, and autonomously to emerging challenges, such as to security threats and safety issues, as well as to new opportunities, such as real-time ecommerce recommendations. While there is an essential role for query and offline analytics to optimize IoT services, the need for highly granular, real-time analytics continues to grow. ScaleOut’s Digital Twin Streaming Service is designed to meet this need as an integral part of the Azure IoT ecosystem.
To learn more about using the ScaleOut’s Digital Twin Streaming Service in the Microsoft Azure cloud, visit the Azure Marketplace here.
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]]>The post Building the Next Generation in Physical and Cyber Security with Real-Time Digital Twins appeared first on ScaleOut Software.
]]>Today’s physical and cyber security systems need to quickly detect and respond to unauthorized intrusions. However, these systems typically do not take advantage of in-memory computing techniques to help them immediately assess threats and generate alerts. In-memory computing with real-time digital twins offers a powerful new tool to address these challenges. Because these software components independently analyze telemetry from each data source and maintain dynamic contextual information, they can immediately spot unwanted intrusions and generate alerts. Let’s take a look at how they can add value.
Physical Security and Safety
Consider physical security with key card access control used by countless businesses and industries. Key card access control systems rely on database servers in the back office to authorize key cards for specific card readers and to log usage. As illustrated below, this information propagates to field access panels in the buildings to minimize delays in authorizing access. However, making changes usually requires manual database updates and may take minutes or longer to propagate throughout the system.
More importantly, subtle patterns of unauthorized access may escape the attention of security personnel and require a review of the logs to detect. For example, an employee who has given notice of resignation may unexpectedly visit buildings or laboratories that were not part of the employee’s known scope of work. Another employee might be put at risk by attempting to enter a hazardous laboratory without having completed the required training. An exit door might record an unusual pattern of entries outside of business hours. In all of these situations, quick detection and response could avoid unwanted intrusions or safety lapses.
To enable immediate alerting, real-time digital twins (RTDTs) can be used to track every key card and key card reader. Since each key card is associated with a specific employee, the RTDT can track that person’s individual authorization to access buildings, entry doors, laboratories, etc. It also can track employment status and level of training to help assess safety issues. This information can be immediately updated by sending a message to the RTDT whenever the employee’s status changes. With this contextual information, each RTDT can implement highly granular access permissions at the card readers while checking authorization within several milliseconds. It also can track the employee’s and entry point’s usage patterns to look for unusual situations that should be alerted.
In a typical interaction, the key card reader sends a message to the employee’s key card RTDT with the reader’s identifier and time of day. After analyzing the request and tracking usage patterns, the key card RTDT responds with an authorization reply to the reader. The RTDT also sends a message to the reader’s RTDT to enable it to track usage and generate alerts as necessary, as illustrated below:
Cyber Security
Security information and event management (SIEM) software logs activities, such as user logins, failed attempts, and potentially malicious events so that security managers can detect and prevent or remediate possible intrusions. Typical SIEM software lets managers create and apply rules to event logs to extract information that should be alerted, such as identification of a chain of activity (“kill chain”) that leads to injection of malware or other malicious actions. Dashboards show managers raw telemetry, such as the number of potentially malicious events by region or events recorded over time. The forensic analysis of logs and display of large volumes of aggregated telemetry make it difficult for managers to spot and mitigate emerging kill chains, such as a chain of intrusions within a corporate infrastructure leading to an exploitation:
By hosting event tracking in memory with contextual information and by reacting within milliseconds to potential threats, RTDTs can help accelerate the detection and interruption of cyber kill chains. Many SIEM platforms maintain software agents distributed throughout an organization’s IT infrastructure to report suspicious events that could signal a possible intrusion. Instead of just feeding these events to a dashboard and to a log for analysis, they can also be reported to an RTDT for each agent. Each RTDT can immediately run a machine learning algorithm to classify activity and signal alerts when a threat is predicted. Moreover, if an agent’s event includes information about an outbound connection to another node in the network, the RTDT can send a message to that node’s RTDT to enrich its context and assist in detection of a potential kill chain. By dynamically sending messages to and among RTDTs that attempt to track the progression of an intruder within a network, RTDTs can build a real-time map of potential kill chains and possibly get ahead of the intruder to block threats.
The following diagram illustrates the use of RTDTs to map the progression of incoming threats as they migrate among nodes of an organization’s infrastructure:
Summing Up
Physical and cyber security systems, as well as safety systems, require simultaneous, real-time assessment of numerous interactions in the context of allowed and expected usage patterns. Instead of relying on today’s offline computing techniques and forensic analysis to perform the bulk of the work, these systems can dramatically boost their effectiveness by employing next generation in-memory computing techniques, such as real-time digital twins. This software architecture offers a highly attractive combination of intelligence, agility, responsiveness, and scalability to meet the ever-increasing challenges faced by today’s security and safety systems.
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]]>The goal of real-time streaming analytics is to get answers fast. Mission-critical applications that manage large numbers of live data sources need to quickly sift through incoming telemetry, assess dynamic changes, and immediately pinpoint emerging issues that need attention. Examples abound: a telematics application tracking a fleet of vehicles, a vaccine distribution system managing the delivery of thousands of shipments, a security or safety application analyzing entry points in a large infrastructure (physical or cyber), a healthcare application tracking medical telemetry from a population of wearable devices, a financial services application watching wire transfers and looking for potential fraud — the list goes on. In all these cases, when a problem occurs (or an opportunity emerges), managers need answers now.
Conventional streaming analytics platforms are unable to separate messages from each data source and analyze them as they flow in. Instead, they ingest and store telemetry from all data sources, attempt a preliminary search for interesting patterns in the aggregated data stream, and defer detailed analysis to offline batch processing. As a result, they are unable to introspect on the dynamic, evolving state of each data source and immediately alert on emerging issues, such as the impending failure of a truck engine, an unusual pattern of entries and exits to a secure building, or a potentially dangerous pattern of telemetry for a patient with a known medical condition.
In-memory computing with software components called real-time digital twins overcomes these obstacles and enables continuous analysis of incoming telemetry for each data source with contextual information that deepens introspection. While processing each message in a few milliseconds, this technology automatically scales to simultaneously handle thousands of data sources. It also can aggregate and visualize the results of analysis every few seconds so that managers can graphically track the state of a complex live system and quickly pinpoint issues.
The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service is an Azure-based cloud service that uses real-time digital twins to perform continuous data ingestion, analysis by data source, aggregation, and visualization, as illustrated below. What’s key about this approach is that the system visualizes state information that results from real-time analysis — not raw telemetry flowing in from data sources. This gives managers curated data that intelligently focuses on the key problem areas (or opportunities). For example, instead of looking at fluctuating oil temperature, telematics dispatchers see the results of predictive analytics. There’s not enough time for managers to examine all the raw data, and not enough time to wait for batch processing to complete. Maintaining situational awareness requires real-time introspection for each data source, and real-time digital twins provide it.
In the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, real-time data visualization can take the form of charts and tables. Dynamic charts effectively display the results of aggregate analytics that combine data from all real-time digital twins to show emerging patterns, such as the regions of the country with the largest delivery delays for a vaccine distribution system. This gives a comprehensive view that helps managers maintain the “big picture.” To pinpoint precisely which data sources need attention, users can query analytics results for all real-time digital twins and see the results in a table. This enables managers to ask questions like “Which vaccination centers in Washington state are experiencing delivery delays in excess of 1 hour and have seen more than 100 people awaiting vaccinations at least three times today?” With this information, managers can immediately determine where vaccine shipments should be delivered first.
With the latest release, the streaming service now offers geospatial mapping of query results combined with continuous queries that refresh the map every few seconds. For example, using this cloud service, a telematics system for a trucking fleet can continuously display the locations of specific trucks which have issues (the red dots on the map) in addition to watching aggregate statistics:
For applications like this, a mapped view of query results offers valuable insights about the locations where issues are emerging that would otherwise be more difficult to obtain from a tabular view. Note that the queried data shows the results of real-time analytics which are continuously updated as messages arrive and are processed. For example, instead of displaying the latest oil temperature from a truck, the query reports the results of a predictive analytics algorithm that makes use of several state variables maintained by the real-time digital twin. This declutters the dispatcher’s view so that only alertable conditions are highlighted and demand attention:
The following image shows an example of actual map output for a hypothetical security application that tracks possible intrusions within a nationwide power grid. The goal of the real-time digital twins is to assess telemetry from each of 20K control points in the power grid’s network, filter out false-positives and known issues, and produce a quantitative assessment of the threat (“alert level”). Continuous queries map the results of this assessment so that managers can immediately spot a real threat, understand its scope, and take action to isolate it. The map shows the results of results three continuous queries: high alerts requiring action, medium alerts that just need watching, and offline nodes (with the output suppressed here):
In this scenario a high alert has suddenly appeared in the grid at three locations (Seattle, New York, and Miami) indicating a serious, coordinated attack on the network. By zooming in and hovering over dots in the graph, users can display the detailed query results for each corresponding data source. Within seconds, managers have immediate, actionable information about threat assessments and can quickly visualize the locations and scope of specific threats.
In applications like these and many others, the power of in-memory computing with real-time digital twins gives managers a new means to digest real-time telemetry from thousands of data sources, combine it with contextual information that enhances the analysis, and then immediately visualize the results. This powerful technology boosts situational awareness and helps guide responses much better and faster than was previously possible.
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]]>With the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service, an Azure-hosted cloud service, ScaleOut Software introduced breakthrough capabilities for streaming analytics using the real-time digital twin concept. This new software model enables applications to easily analyze telemetry from individual data sources in 1-3 milliseconds while maintaining state information about data sources that deepens introspection. It also provides a basis for applications to create key status information that the streaming platform aggregates every few seconds to maximize situational awareness. Because it runs on a scalable, highly available in-memory computing platform, it can do all this simultaneously for hundreds of thousands or even millions of data sources.
The unique capabilities of real-time digital twins can provide important advances for numerous applications, including security, fleet telematics, IoT, smart cities, healthcare, and financial services. These applications are all characterized by numerous data sources which generate telemetry that must be simultaneously tracked and analyzed, while maintaining overall situational awareness that immediately highlights problems of concern an/or opportunities of interest. For example, consider some of the new capabilities that real-time digital twins can provide in fleet telematics and vaccine distribution during COVID-19.
To address security requirements or the need for tight integration with existing infrastructure, many organizations need to host their streaming analytics platform on-premises. Scaleout StreamServer® DT was created to meet this need. It combines the scalable, battle-tested in-memory data grid that powers ScaleOut StreamServer with the graphical user interface and visualization features of the cloud service in a unified, on-premises deployment. This gives users all of the capabilities of the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service with complete infrastructure control.
As illustrated in the following diagram, ScaleOut StreamServer DT installs its management console on a standalone server that connects to ScaleOut StreamServer’s in-memory data grid. This console hosts the graphical user interface that is securely accessed by remote workstations within an organization. It also deploys real-time digital twin models to the in-memory data grid, which hosts instances of digital twins (one per data source) and runs application-defined code to process incoming messages. Message are delivered to the grid using messaging hubs, such as Azure IoT Hub, AWS IoT Core, Kafka, a built-in REST service, or directly using APIs.
The management console installs as a set of Docker containers on the management server. This simplifies the installation process and ensures portability across operating systems. Once installed, users can create accounts to control access to the console, and all connections are secured using SSL. The results of aggregate analytics and queries performed within the in-memory data grid can then be accessed and visualized on workstations running throughout an organization.
Because ScaleOut’s in-memory data grid runs in an organization’s data center and avoids the requirement to use a cloud-hosted message hub or REST service, incoming messages from data sources can be processed with minimum latency. In addition, application code running in real-time digital twins can access local resources, such as databases and alerting systems, with the best possible performance and security. Use of dedicated computing resources for the in-memory data grid delivers the highest possible throughput for message processing and real-time analytics.
While cloud hosting of streaming analytics as a SaaS (software-as-a-service) offering creates clear advantages in reducing capital costs and providing access to highly elastic computing resources, it may not be suitable for organizations which need to maintain full control of their infrastructures to address security and performance requirements. ScaleOut StreamServer DT was designed to meet these needs and deliver the important, unique benefits of streaming analytics using real-time digital twins to these organizations.
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]]>The power of this breakthrough new technology has gained the attention of leading industry analysts. In their recent Data Management: IoT Stream Processing and Streaming Analytics competitive ranking report, ABI Research named ScaleOut Software as the leading vendor in innovation “owing to its highly effective Digital Twin Streaming Service that can track telemetry streams, data aggregation tools, and trend recognition capabilities of multiple devices’ telemetry.”
The full press release from ABI Research can be found here.
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Getting the COVID-19 crisis under control requires that we put in place an effective process for vaccine distribution so that the country can get to herd immunity as fast as possible. We are faced with quickly building a nationwide logistics network and standing up well more than 50,000 vaccination centers. Making all this work smoothly means that managers need accurate, up-to-the-minute information about all aspects of this operation, including:
Given the unique and highly dynamic nature of this challenge, we need software solutions that are agile enough to adapt to evolving needs and scalable enough to quickly handle a daunting amount of fast-changing data. Conventional, enterprise data architectures take months to develop and are complex to change. Is there a simpler, faster way to wrangle this data for crisis managers?
In-Memory Computing with Real Time Digital Twins: Fast and Agile
A software technology called in-memory computing has evolved over the last twenty years to grapple with the challenge of tracking and analyzing fast-changing data. Its two core competencies are speed and scalability. Widely used to track ecommerce shopping carts, financial transactions, airline flights and much more, in-memory computing can quickly store, retrieve, and analyze large volumes of live data. This powerful technology may also be just what we need to help tackle the challenge of vaccine distribution.
In the last two years, the concept of real-time digital twins has emerged to let in-memory computing track incoming data streams from hundreds of thousands of data sources, maintain pertinent information about each data source, and immediately alert when unusual conditions are detected. The power of this approach lies in its ability to simplify the problem for application developers. It encapsulates code that just focuses on analyzing messages from a single data source as they flow in, and it maintains an up-to-the second assessment of the data source’s status. Real-time digital twins are both easy to develop and easy to change as needs evolve. The in-memory computing system which hosts them typically runs as a cloud service (such as the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service) that transparently scales to handle as many data sources as needed.
Real-Time Digital Twins Can Help Expedite Vaccine Distribution
To track the distribution and delivery of COVID-19 vaccines, a real-time digital twin can be deployed for each shipment in transit and for each vaccination center. For shipments, the digital twins can track location, destination, and current condition on a second-by-second basis, allowing managers to instantly know where a shipment is and whether its viability is at risk, for example, due to a temperature change. For vaccination centers, real-time digital twins can track location, the supply of vaccines, current demand (number of recipients), availability of trained personnel to perform injections, and other parameters. Code in the digital twin continuously analyzes incoming messages to determine whether a problem exists or is likely to occur, and it alerts managers to urgent issues within a few milliseconds. This allows managers to keep track of which of the 50,000 centers need immediate assistance.
The following diagram illustrates the use of real-time digital twins to track thousands of vaccine shipments and vaccination centers. The red dotted lines depict message streams flowing from data sources located throughout the country over the Internet to their corresponding real-time digital twins hosted in the cloud service.
Let’s take a closer look at the real-time digital twin for a vaccination center. Using a simple web app, personnel at the vaccination center send periodic messages updating information about supplies, personnel, recipients, and wait times. The real time digital twin for this center records this data and then analyzes it for issues, such as a shortfall in supplies, lack of available personnel, or a surge in incoming recipients. It can then compute an assessment of the urgency for assistance (call it an alert level) which can be compared to other centers to identify which ones have the most urgent issues. If the alert level becomes sufficiently high, the analysis code can immediately notify managers. By analyzing incoming messages, real-time digital twins keep track of the latest status for all vaccination centers.
Here’s an illustration of a vaccination center sending messages to its real-time digital twin running in the cloud. It shows some of the state information that the twin maintains and the code which analyzes incoming messages as they arrive:
Aggregate Analytics Boost Situational Awareness
When dealing with thousands of dynamic data sources, managers can use real-time digital twins to serve as highly responsive watchdogs that continuously evaluate incoming information for changes that may need attention. This helps managers easily track thousands of data sources and focus on the most pressing concerns.
To further boost situational awareness, the in-memory computing platform can group and aggregate data held in the real-time digital twins every few seconds to help surface widespread changes that need strategic responses. For example, the average shortfall in vaccine doses for all centers in each region of the country can be aggregated to track where shortfalls may be occurring. This information can be visualized as shown in the chart below, which is updated every few seconds to provide managers with the most current view of the situation:
Likewise, this technique can be used to aggregate the average wait times for all vaccination centers by county. This can help determine where bottlenecks in vaccine delivery are occurring and enable mangers to render assistance by relocating personnel from less busy centers to overwhelmed ones.
Aggregate analytics of data maintained by real-time digital twins can also be used to track and validate the equitable distribution of vaccines. For example, it can aggregate information collected from each center about the demographics of vaccine recipients, such as age and ethnicity, and characteristics of the centers themselves, such as hospitals vs pharmacies and urban vs rural. This allows key real-time statistics to be tracked, such whether certain groups or regions are being underserved and whether hospitals have shorter wait times than pharmacies.
Summing Up
Without a doubt, distributing and delivering COVID-19 vaccines quickly and effectively over the next few months presents formidable challenges, namely:
Because it is fast, scalable, and agile, in-memory computing technology with real-time digital twins can serve as a valuable tool for tracking the status of many thousands of vaccination centers and shipments. This innovative software infrastructure can quickly be programmed to analyze vital parameters and statistics in milliseconds and aggregate key data every few seconds. It offers managers a powerful and flexible means for helping ensure fast, efficient vaccine distribution and delivery.
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As discussed in earlier blog posts, real-time digital twins offer a breakthrough new approach to streaming analytics by providing a means for continuously analyzing each incoming telemetry stream from thousands of data sources. Because they maintain state information about each data source, they can immediately spot issues unique to that data source and generate alerts within a few milliseconds. In contrast, conventional “batch-oriented” streaming analytics typically do not mine this telemetry in real-time and may not uncover important, actionable trends for several minutes or hours. These unique capabilities, combined with real-time data aggregation to boost situational awareness, give real-time digital twins unique advantages in a wide range of applications, including contact tracing, telematics, logistics, smart cities, security, financial services, healthcare, and much more.
Real-time digital twins provide a software technique for orchestrating the execution of analytics code that examines incoming messages from a single data source and maintains state information about that data source. The ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service hosts instances of real-time digital twins in the Microsoft Azure cloud or on-premises, manages the delivery of messages from various message hubs, and implements data aggregation and visualization. Application developers typically implement a single method containing analytics code written in standard programming languages, such as Java, C#, and JavaScript, which take full advantage of the object-oriented, real-time digital twin model. Here is a depiction of a real-time digital twin showing the message processing code and state information unique to a specific data source:
Rules-Based Real-Time Digital Twins
In many applications, a rules-based formulation of analytics logic can simplify application code and open up development of real-time digital twins to analysts who lack object-oriented programming experience. Rules-based algorithms have been widely adopted over the years and proven to provide a straightforward technique for expressing business logic in numerous applications and expert systems. In their simplest form, rules are expressed as “IF condition THEN action” statements which are executed sequentially by a “rules engine.” Other rules which just perform actions, such as calculations or message sending, can be expressed with “DO action” statements. These rules replace programming code with simple, highly readable statements that can be used in many applications where more complex logic is not required.
For example, consider an IoT application in which a real-time digital twin is monitoring messages sent from a thermometer and looking for a situation in which the temperature either spikes beyond an allowed limitof 250 deg. or exceeds an allowed average value of 112 deg. This logic could be expressed with the following rules, which are executed for each incoming message. Note that the temperature reading within the message is called Incoming.Temp here, and the other variables maintain state information within the real-time digital twin’s instance for this thermometer. For example, the number of temperature spikes is maintained in the variable NumEvents.
DO CurrentTemp = Incoming.Temp IF CurrentTemp > MaxTemp THEN MaxTemp = CurrentTemp DO AverageTemp = AverageTemp * NumSamples + CurrentTemp DO NumSamples = NumSamples + 1 DO AverageTemp = AverageTemp / NumSamples IF MaxTemp > 250.0 THEN NumEvents = NumEvents + 1 IF MaxTemp > 250.0 THEN LogMessage.Message = "Max temp exceeded" AND LogMessage IF AverageTemp > 112.0 THEN LogMessage.Message = "Average temp exceeded" AND LogMessage
The following diagram shows how message are delivered to a thermometer’s real-time digital twin instance and are analyzed by the rules engine:
Development Tool for Building Rules-Based Models
To simplify the development of rules-based analytics code for real-time digital twins, ScaleOut Software has developed the ScaleOut Rules Engine Development Tool. This Windows-based graphical development environment enables application developers to create and test rule-based digital twin models prior to deploying them on the streaming service for production use. Using this tool, developers create a model by specifying:
The tool validates the rules when they are created to make sure that they will execute. Next, the user can test the model by sending it messages and observing changes in the values of the properties. The rules can be run one at a time for each message to verify that they are creating the desired state changes and outgoing messages. The development tool can simulate sending message back to the data source, to another real-time digital twin instance, or to the message log in the service’s UI.
Here is a screenshot of the development tool during a test of a rules-based model for a thermometer:
Note that during production use, the streaming service can aggregate instance properties across all real-time digital twin instances and visualize the results. The rules engine running in each real-time digital twin instance updates property values as it processes incoming messages, and the results are immediately aggregated. For example, if the thermometers supplied their locations, the average temperature could be plotted by region. This allows managers to immediately spot patterns in the data across all data sources and direct responses where they are most urgently needed.
Summing Up
The integration of a rules engine within real-time digital twins lowers barriers to entry in creating streaming analytics. The highly intuitive formulation of application logic as a set of rules to be sequentially evaluated makes it straightforward for domain experts to implement streaming analytics for many applications without the need for programming skills. The power of real-time digital twins working together, combined with continuous aggregate analytics, enables telemetry from many thousands of data sources to be simultaneously analyzed and creates a breakthrough in situational awareness.
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Rapid advances in the telematics industry have dramatically boosted the efficiency of vehicle fleets and have found wide ranging applications from long haul transport to usage-based insurance. Incoming telemetry from a large fleet of vehicles provides a wealth of information that can help streamline operations and maximize productivity. However, telematics architectures face challenges in responding to telemetry in real time. Competitive pressures should spark innovation in this area, and real-time digital twins can help.
Current Telematics Architecture
The volume of incoming telemetry challenges current telematics systems to keep up and quickly make sense of all the data. Here’s a typical telematics architecture for processing telemetry from a fleet of trucks:
Each truck today has a microprocessor-based sensor hub which collects key telemetry, such as vehicle speed and acceleration, engine parameters, trailer parameters, and more. It sends messages over the cell network to the telematics system, which uses its compute servers (that is, web and application servers) to store incoming messages as snapshots in an in-memory data grid, also known as a distributed cache. Every few seconds, the application servers collect batches of snapshots and write them to the database where they can be queried by dispatchers managing the fleet. At the same time, telemetry snapshots are stored in a data lake, such as HDFS, for offline batch analysis and visualization using big data tools like Spark. The results of batch analysis are typically produced after an hour’s delay or more. Lastly, all telemetry is archived for future use (not shown here).
This telematics architecture has evolved to handle ever increasing message rates (often reaching 2K messages per second), make up-to-the-minute information available to dispatchers, and feed offline analytics. Using a database, dispatchers can query raw telemetry to determine the information they need to manage the fleet in real time. This enables them to answer questions such as:
Offline analytics can mine the telemetry for longer term statistics that help managers assess the fleet’s overall performance, such as the average length of delivery or routing delays, the fleet’s change in fuel efficiency, the number of drivers exceeding their allowed shift times, and the number and type of mechanical issues. These statistics help pinpoint areas where dispatchers and other personnel can make strategic improvements.
Challenges for Current Architectures
There are three key limitations in this telematics architecture which impact its ability to provide managers with the best possible situational awareness. First, incoming telemetry from trucks in the fleet arrives too fast to be analyzed immediately. The architecture collects messages in snapshots but leaves it to human dispatchers to digest this raw information by querying a database. What if the system could separately track incoming telemetry for each truck, look for changes based on contextual information, and then alert dispatchers when problems were identified? For example, the system could perform continuous predictive analytics on the engine’s parameters with knowledge of the engine’s maintenance history and signal if an impending failure was detected. Likewise, it could watch for hazardous driving with information about the driver’s record and medical condition. Having the system continuously introspect on the telemetry for each truck would enable the dispatcher to spot problems and intervene more quickly and effectively.
A second key limitation is the lack of real-time aggregate analysis. Since this analysis must be performed offline in batch jobs, it cannot respond to immediate issues and is restricted to assessing overall fleet performance. What if the real-time telemetry tracking for each truck could be aggregated within seconds to spot emerging issues that affect many trucks and require a strategic response? These issues could include:
The current telematics architecture also has inherent scalability issues in the form of network bottlenecks. Because all telemetry is stored in the in-memory data grid and accessed by a separate farm of compute servers, the network between the grid and the server farm can quickly bottleneck as the incoming message rate increases. As the fleet size grows and the message rate per truck increases from once per minute to once per second, the telematics system may not be able to handle the additional incoming telemetry.
Solution: Real-Time Digital Twins
A new software architecture for streaming analytics based on the concept of real-time digital twins can address these challenges and add significant capabilities to telematics systems. This new, object-oriented software technique provides a memory-based orchestration framework for tracking and analyzing telemetry from each data source. It comprises message-processing code and state variables which host dynamically evolving contextual information about the data source. For example, the real-time digital twin for a truck could look like this:
Instead of just snapshotting incoming telemetry, real-time digital twins for every data source immediately analyze it, update their state information about the truck’s condition, and send out alerts or commands to the truck or to managers as necessary. For example, they can track engine telemetry with knowledge of the engine’s known issues and maintenance history. They can track position, speed, and acceleration with knowledge of the route, schedule, and driver (allowed time left, driving record, etc.). Message-processing code can incorporate a rules engine or machine learning to amplify their capabilities.
Real-time digital twins digest raw telemetry and enable intelligent alerting in the moment that assists both drivers and dispatchers in surfacing issues that need immediate attention. They are much easier to develop than typical streaming analytics applications, which have to sift through the telemetry from all data sources to pick out patterns of interest and which lack contextual information to guide them. Because they are implemented using in-memory computing techniques, real-time digital twins are fast (typically responding to messages in a few milliseconds) and transparently scalable to handle hundreds of thousands of data sources and message rates exceeding 100K messages/second.
Here’s a depiction of real-time digital twins running within an in-memory data grid in a telematics architecture:
In addition to fitting within an overall architecture that includes database query and offline analytics, real-time digital twins enable built-in aggregate analytics and visualization. They provide curated state information derived from incoming telemetry that can be continuously aggregated and visualized to boost situational awareness for managers, as illustrated below. This opens up an important new opportunity to aggregate performance indicators needed in real time, such as emerging road delays by region or impending scheduling issues due to timed out drivers, that can be acted upon while new problems are still nascent. Real-time aggregate analytics add significant new capabilities to telematics systems.
Summing Up
While telematics systems currently provide a comprehensive feature set for managing fleets, they lack the important ability to track and analyze telemetry from each vehicle in real time and then aggregate derived information to maintain continuous situational awareness for the fleet. Real-time digital twins can address these shortcomings with a powerful, fast, easy to develop, and highly scalable software architecture. This new software technique has the potential to make a major impact on the telematics industry.
To learn more about real-time digital twins in action, take a look at ScaleOut Software’s streaming service for hosting real-time digital twins in the cloud or on-premises here.
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]]>Also read our Partner Perspective in the same issue, which explains how the Microsoft Azure cloud provides a powerful platform for hosting the ScaleOut Digital Twin Streaming Service and ensures high performance across a wide range of applications.
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